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Celtiga vs Barco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Celtiga Logo

Celtiga

3 - 5
FT
Barco Logo

Barco

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Martin O.
20' Event
Rodriguez A.
28' Event
Freiria M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Celtiga and Barco finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Celtiga
30%
Draws
47%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of Celtiga on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 16%
Barco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Barco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Barco
3:5
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Celtiga
2:1
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Celtiga
1:2
Oct 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Barco
0:2
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Barco
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Del Rio N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Freiria M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castro B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 36 / 100
Barco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Celtiga's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Barco let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Celtiga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Barco
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
04 Oct
Viveiro
0 : 0
Celtiga
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
04 Oct
Barco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)