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Celtiga vs Cambados

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Blanco Farina M.
74' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Celtiga and Cambados finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Celtiga
15%
Draws
0%
Cambados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cambados haven't matched Celtiga's recent run of results.
  • Celtiga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 68%
Cambados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Cambados
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Cambados
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cambados vs Celtiga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco Farina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cambados Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 77 / 100
Cambados 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Cambados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtiga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Cambados's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Celtiga scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Cambados
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

Cambados

(Away)
10 May
Montaneros
4 : 1
Cambados
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
25 Apr
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 0
Cambados
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 0
Cambados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)