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Celtiga vs Estradense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Lopez F.
87' Event
Lopez F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Celtiga and Estradense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Celtiga
30%
Draws
41%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estradense come out ahead of Celtiga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Celtiga's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Celtiga here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 16%
Estradense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celtiga Estradense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Estradense
2:0
Feb 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Estradense
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Celtiga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Estradense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celtiga 41 / 100
Estradense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celtiga Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtiga scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Estradense conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Celtiga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celtiga VS Estradense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Celtiga

(Home)
04 Oct
Viveiro
0 : 0
Celtiga
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

Estradense

(Away)
04 Oct
Estradense
3 : 2
CD Boiro
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)