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Cenicero vs San Marcial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cenicero host San Marcial in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. This has San Marcial written all over it on paper. San Marcial have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Cenicero have conceded 2.34 and scored 0.45. Head-to-head, Cenicero have won 2 to San Marcial's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2011, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.33) back San Marcial to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cenicero
35%
Draws
35%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cenicero haven't matched San Marcial's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cenicero's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cenicero Clean Sheet 18%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cenicero San Marcial
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Cenicero
0:0
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs San Marcial
2:0
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs San Marcial
0:3
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Cenicero
0:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Cenicero
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cenicero 36 / 100
San Marcial 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cenicero San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcial has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Cenicero has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cenicero's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cenicero VS San Marcial
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 2.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cenicero

(Home)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Comillas CF
0 : 0
Cenicero
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
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San Marcial

(Away)
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
6 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
7 Pradejon 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)