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Central Coast U23 vs Newcastle Jets U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sadler F.
6' Event
Scicluna L.
24' Event
Paragalli M.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Central Coast U23 and Newcastle Jets U23 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Jets U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Central Coast U23
44%
Draws
20%
Newcastle Jets U23
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Central Coast U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Newcastle Jets U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Central Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Coast U23 Newcastle Jets U23
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NSW League One
Central Coast U23 vs Newcastle Jets U23
2:3
Jan 11, 2020 Y-League
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Central Coast U23
2:1
Dec 17, 2019 Y-League
Central Coast U23 vs Newcastle Jets U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Coast U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadler F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paragalli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Newcastle Jets U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scicluna L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Coast U23 34 / 100
Newcastle Jets U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Coast U23 Newcastle Jets U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newcastle Jets U23 conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Central Coast U23 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Newcastle Jets U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Central Coast U23 VS Newcastle Jets U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans23155358:3050
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
4Canterbury Bankstown FC23125656:3741
5Bankstown City Lions FC23124740:3740
6Rydalmere Lions2397733:3434
7Bulls Academy231031044:3433
8Hills United2396840:3833
9Hakoah Sydney2379740:3830
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions23741229:4225
13Newcastle Jets U2323581043:5223
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Prospect United242121023:4318
16Western City Rangers23441526:4616