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Central Coast vs Auckland FC

Australia Australia

A-League Central Coast Stadium (Polytec)
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AI Match Summary

Central Coast play Auckland FC in the A-League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Central Coast averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Auckland FC averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Central Coast won 1, Auckland FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Central Coast and 1.56 for Auckland FC. This points to a Auckland FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Central Coast
34%
Draws
40%
Auckland FC
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Auckland FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Central Coast picked up more points recently compared to Auckland FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Central Coast Clean Sheet 15%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Coast Auckland FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Central Coast
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Central Coast
2:2
Dec 12, 2025 A-League
Central Coast vs Auckland FC
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Central Coast
2:2
Dec 28, 2024 A-League
Central Coast vs Auckland FC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Auckland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Randall J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cosgrove S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Coast 26 / 100
Auckland FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Coast Auckland FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Auckland FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Central Coast attacking → ← attacking Auckland FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Coast scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Auckland FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Central Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Auckland FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 52
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321