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Central Football W vs Auckland United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dowsing L.
6' Event
Roche C.
22' Event
Vosper S.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Central Football W and Auckland United W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Football W
6%
Draws
90%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Auckland United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Auckland United W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Football W Auckland United W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 29
Draws 1 3
Losses 27 3
Goals Scored 0 3.63
Goals Conceded 7.5 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Central Football W
10:0
Oct 11, 2024 National League Women
Central Football W vs Auckland United W
1:5
Oct 15, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Central Football W
3:0
Dec 10, 2022 National League Women
Central Football W vs Auckland United W
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Central Football W
9:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Football W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowsing L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brill P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roche C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Football W 10 / 100
Auckland United W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Football W Auckland United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Central Football W scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Auckland United W let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Difficult form: Auckland United W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Central Football W VS Auckland United W
0 Goals Scored 3.63
7.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500