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Central Football W vs Waterside Karori W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Kruszona E. N.
45' Event
Ward K.
73' Event
Ward K.

AI Match Summary

Waterside Karori W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterside Karori W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Central Football W
6%
Draws
90%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Waterside Karori W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waterside Karori W lately — more wins on the board than Central Football W.
  • Win probability leans Waterside Karori W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Football W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 6.75 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.75 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Central Football W
3:0
Oct 21, 2023 National League Women
Central Football W vs Waterside Karori W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Football W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Waterside Karori W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ward K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kruszona E. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Football W 10 / 100
Waterside Karori W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Football W Waterside Karori W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterside Karori W has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Waterside Karori W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Central Football W scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Central Football W VS Waterside Karori W
0.13 Goals Scored 1.29
6.75 Goals Conceded 2.43
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 71%
88% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971125:922
2Southern United W971122:622
3Eastern Suburbs W970222:1221
4Western Springs W961228:1119
5Wellington United W941418:1613
6Waterside Karori W941418:1613
7Canterbury United W921617:227
8Wellington Phoenix 2 W921612:267
9Central Football W91176:304
10Ellerslie W91083:233