Sport Picks
Central Norte vs Ciudad Bolivar
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta 
Match Events
8'
8'
Martinez E.
14'
14'
Sub
Rosales M. In: Lucero M.
Out: Rosales M.
24'
24'
Gutierrez M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Central Norte and Ciudad Bolivar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Bolivar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Central Norte haven't matched Ciudad Bolivar's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Central Norte taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central Norte | Ciudad Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs Central Norte
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Ciudad Bolivar
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Central Norte Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ciudad Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central Norte 51 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central Norte Ciudad Bolivar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Central Norte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Central Norte's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ciudad Bolivar conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Central Norte VS Ciudad Bolivar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Central Norte
(Home) 26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0 Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1 CA Estudiantes
16 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad Bolivar
(Away) 26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1 Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0 Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1 Ciudad Bolivar
29 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1 Ciudad Bolivar
15 Aug
Agropecuario
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
08 Aug
Almirante Brown
2 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
25 Jul
CA Estudiantes
1 : 2 Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 9 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
