Sport Picks
Central Norte vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta 
Match Events
4'
4'
Moravec M.
6'
6'
Montagna E.
Assist: Meli M.
35'
35'
Lamosa A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Central Norte and Deportivo Madryn finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Madryn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Madryn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Madryn come out ahead of Central Norte on wins alone.
- Model gives Deportivo Madryn a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Central Norte | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
0:0
May 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs Deportivo Madryn
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Central Norte Compare
Top Goalscorer Moravec M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ribero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Deportivo Madryn Compare
Top Goalscorer Montagna E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silba L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Central Norte 24 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Central Norte Deportivo Madryn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Madryn let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Central Norte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Central Norte scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Central Norte VS Deportivo Madryn
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Central Norte
(Home) 26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Central Norte
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0 Central Norte
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2 Central Norte
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
23 Aug
Central Norte
2 : 1 CA Estudiantes
16 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Madryn
(Away) 02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0 Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0 Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1 Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
16 Aug
San Martin T.
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
08 Aug
CA Estudiantes
0 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 15 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
