Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Central SC vs Belo Jardim

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central SC in this Pernambucano 2 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Central SC
30%
Draws
41%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Central SC have won more games recently than Belo Jardim.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Belo Jardim taking it.
  • Central SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central SC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Central SC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Central SC Clean Sheet 20%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central SC Belo Jardim
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Pernambucano
Belo Jardim vs Central SC
1:2
Nov 27, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Central SC vs Belo Jardim
1:0
Sep 11, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Central SC vs Belo Jardim
1:0
Feb 18, 2018 Pernambucano
Central SC vs Belo Jardim
2:0
Mar 5, 2017 Pernambucano
Belo Jardim vs Central SC
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central SC 24 / 100
Belo Jardim 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central SC Belo Jardim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belo Jardim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central SC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Belo Jardim has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Central SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Central SC VS Belo Jardim
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Central SC

(Home)
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Central SC
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1
Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1
Laguna RN
29 May
America RN
1 : 0
Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
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Belo Jardim

(Away)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Maguary 0
Central SC 1
CA Porto 1
Belo Jardim 2
Final
Central SC 1
Belo Jardim 0