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Central Union vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Central Union
15%
Draws
45%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Central Union's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Central Union Clean Sheet 15%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Union Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Central Union
2:0
Sep 5, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Union 41 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Union Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Central Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Central Union's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Central Union VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Union

(Home)
11 Oct
Central Union
1 : 0
Independiente CBBA
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Away)
11 Oct
Mineros Potosi
4 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)