Sport Picks

USA

USL League One 2024 Fresno State Soccer Stadium

Northern Colorado

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Central Valley Fuego play Northern Colorado in the USL League One 2024. Northern Colorado are favorites here. Recently, Central Valley Fuego averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Northern Colorado averaged 2 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Central Valley Fuego won 0, Northern Colorado won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 3, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Central Valley Fuego and 2.00 for Northern Colorado. This points to a Northern Colorado double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Central Valley Fuego

15%

Draws

65%

Northern Colorado

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northern Colorado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Central Valley Fuego picked up more points recently compared to Northern Colorado.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 10%

Northern Colorado Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Central Valley Fuego	Northern Colorado
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	21
Draws	3	4
Losses	20	5
Goals Scored	1.2	2
Goals Conceded	2.13	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 USL League One

Central Valley Fuego vs Northern Colorado

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Aug 31, 2024 USL Cup

Central Valley Fuego vs Northern Colorado

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jul 4, 2024 USL League One

Northern Colorado vs Central Valley Fuego

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Jun 9, 2024 USL Cup

Northern Colorado vs Central Valley Fuego

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

4:3

Sep 17, 2023 USL League One

Central Valley Fuego vs Northern Colorado

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Northern Colorado Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoard E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Valley Fuego 20 / 100

Northern Colorado 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Central Valley Fuego Northern Colorado

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Colorado Win (2)

Secondary Pick Northern Colorado & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Central Valley Fuego attacking → ← attacking Northern Colorado

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Valley Fuego scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Northern Colorado let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Central Valley Fuego went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Northern Colorado lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 67

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	22	15	3	4	47:24	48
2	Northern Colorado	22	12	5	5	34:18	41
3	Forward Madison	22	10	9	3	35:18	39
4	Greenville Triumph	22	11	4	7	39:28	37
5	One Knoxville	22	9	8	5	23:16	35
6	Charlotte Independence	22	9	7	6	37:31	34
7	Spokane Velocity	22	7	6	9	26:35	27
8	Richmond Kickers	22	6	6	10	25:34	24
9	Lexington	22	5	6	11	33:42	21
10	South Georgia Tormenta	22	4	8	10	33:42	20
11	Chattanooga Red Wolves	22	5	3	14	28:48	18
12	Central Valley Fuego	22	5	3	14	27:51	18