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Stadium Background

Central Valley Fuego vs South Georgia Tormenta

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Fresno State Soccer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pedro Fonseca
37' Event
Mariona J.
Assist: Midence A.
44' Event
Vivas S.
Assist: Kilwien P.

AI Match Summary

Central Valley Fuego in this USL League One 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Central Valley Fuego.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Central Valley Fuego
22%
Draws
60%
South Georgia Tormenta
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: South Georgia Tormenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Georgia Tormenta lately — more wins on the board than Central Valley Fuego.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on South Georgia Tormenta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 18%
South Georgia Tormenta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Central Valley Fuego South Georgia Tormenta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs South Georgia Tormenta
3:2
Jun 30, 2024 USL Cup
Central Valley Fuego vs South Georgia Tormenta
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 USL League One
South Georgia Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego
1:2
Aug 9, 2023 USL League One
South Georgia Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego
2:1
May 21, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs South Georgia Tormenta
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaya I. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

South Georgia Tormenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Fonseca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vivas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Central Valley Fuego 20 / 100
South Georgia Tormenta 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Central Valley Fuego South Georgia Tormenta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Georgia Tormenta conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Central Valley Fuego scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Central Valley Fuego stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS South Georgia Tormenta
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118