Sport Picks
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Brazil
Copa Alagoas 2024 
Match Events
24'
24'
Murilo
54'
54'
Fabio Faquinha
65'
65'
Murilo
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Clube Sociedade Esportiva advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Clube Sociedade Esportiva, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Clube Sociedade Esportiva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Clean Sheet 19%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense | Clube Sociedade Esportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1:4
Mar 28, 2021 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
2:0
Feb 16, 2020 Alagoano
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
2:0
Jan 24, 2018 Alagoano
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:1
Feb 25, 2017 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabio Faquinha
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Murilo
2 Goals Assists Leader Ibson Melo
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 10 / 100
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Clube Sociedade Esportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Clube Sociedade Esportiva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Clube Sociedade Esportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 39 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
(Home) 12 Mar
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1 : 8 SC Penedense
01 Mar
CRB
8 : 0 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
26 Feb
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 5 Murici
13 Feb
Coruripe
1 : 0 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
09 Feb
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 1 Dimensao Capela
Page 1 of 6
12 Mar
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1 : 8 SC Penedense
26 Feb
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 5 Murici
09 Feb
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 1 Dimensao Capela
19 Oct
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 0 Zumbi
10 Oct
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1 : 0 Alianca
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Clube Sociedade Esportiva
(Away) 14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1 Juazeirense
30 May
ASA
0 : 0 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0 Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5 CSA
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Page 1 of 8
30 May
ASA
0 : 0 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
25 Apr
CSA
1 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
19 Apr
Alagoinhas
1 : 2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
04 Apr
Juazeirense
3 : 1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Penedense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Coruripe | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro Arapiraca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 5 | CRB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Dimensao Capela | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:14 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murici | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:0 | 14 |
| 2 | CSA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 3 | ASA | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Zumbi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 6 | Alianca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2024 (Play Offs)