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Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Marques D.
51' Event
Marques D.
73' Event
Bruno V. F. d. A.

AI Match Summary

Murici in this Copa Alagoas 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murici.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
6%
Draws
90%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Murici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Murici have won more games recently than Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense.
  • Murici are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Clean Sheet 10%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Murici
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 7 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Murici
0:5
Feb 27, 2021 Alagoano
Murici vs Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0:0
Jul 31, 2020 Alagoano
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Murici
0:0
Feb 10, 2019 Alagoano
Murici vs Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1:3
Jan 28, 2018 Alagoano
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense vs Murici
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno V. F. d. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 10 / 100
Murici 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Murici

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Murici has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Murici let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense VS Murici
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
7 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Penedense641119:313
2Coruripe64027:312
3CRB632113:211
4Zumbi632112:311
5Murici631212:710
6Dimensao Capela62046:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva660011:118
2CSA62315:59
3ASA62138:57
4Guarany Alagoano61236:115
5Igaci60060:180
6Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense60061:290