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Cerceda vs CD AS Pontes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Cerceda and CD AS Pontes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cerceda
35%
Draws
49%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD AS Pontes come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD AS Pontes a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD AS Pontes
2:1
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Cerceda
1:5
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD AS Pontes
1:1
Dec 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Cerceda
1:3
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Cerceda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 12 / 100
CD AS Pontes 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD AS Pontes has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cerceda found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Cerceda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD AS Pontes
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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