Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jerez CF have won more games recently than Cerceda.
- Model gives Jerez CF a 47% chance of winning this.
- Jerez CF arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 17%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerceda | Jerez CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 21 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Jerez CF vs Cerceda
1:0
May 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Cerceda vs Jerez CF
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerceda 28 / 100
Jerez CF 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerceda Jerez CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Difficult form: Jerez CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Cerceda's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS Jerez CF
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerceda
(Home) 13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2 CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0 Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2 Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
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13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2 CF Talavera
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Ponferradina
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
31 Mar
Cerceda
1 : 1 Racing Club Ferrol
17 Mar
Cerceda
1 : 1 CF Fuenlabrada
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Jerez CF
(Away) 06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
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03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0 Jerez CF
28 Mar
AD Llerenense
1 : 1 Jerez CF
15 Mar
CD Badajoz
5 : 4 Jerez CF
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Beasain 5
Lorca FC B 2
Cacereno -
TBD -
Langreo 1
Almeria B 2
Gijon B -
TBD -
Oberena 2
Antequera 2
Bergantinos 2
CD Badajoz 2
CD Laredo 1
Utebo FC 1
CD Calahorra -
TBD -
SCD Durango 1
Ecija 2
Tuilla 1
UD San Fernando 5
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
Aguilas FC 1
Olimpic Xativa -
TBD -
Ontinyent 2
Terrassa 1
SD Ejea 1
Arcos CF 3
Palencia CA 3
Real Aviles 2
Alaves B -
TBD -
FC Vilafranca 2
Union Adarve 2
Huetor Tajar 2
Tarazona 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Alzira 1
Malaga B -
TBD -
Cortes 2
Villarrobledo 4
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 2
Naxara 2
Castellon 2
UD Poblense 2
Pena -
TBD -
SD Logrones 1
Mexico 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
Cerceda 0
Jerez CF 1
Lorca Deportiva -
TBD -
CD Azuaga 0
CD Vitoria 1
Guadalajara 0
Cirbonero 1
Ibarra 2
CD Tropezon 3
Algeciras 1
Atletico Astorga 2
Villa Santa Brigida 5
Alcudia 2
Cayon CD 0
Rapido de Bouzas 6
CD Mostoles 0
Peralada 3
Anguiano 2
Conquense 2
Semi-finals
Beasain 2
Cacereno 2
Almeria B 1
Gijon B 2
Antequera 3
CD Badajoz 4
CD Laredo 3
CD Calahorra 4
Ecija 3
UD San Fernando 3
Unionistas de Salamanca 1
Olimpic Xativa 5
Ontinyent 3
Arcos CF 2
Palencia CA 1
Alaves B 2
Union Adarve 3
Tarazona 2
Pena Deportiva 0
Malaga B 3
Villarrobledo 2
Naxara 3
Castellon 4
Pena 4
Mexico 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Jerez CF 1
Lorca Deportiva 5
CD Vitoria 5
Cirbonero 0
CD Tropezon 1
Atletico Astorga 5
Villa Santa Brigida 0
Rapido de Bouzas 2
Peralada 4
Conquense 3
Final
Beasain 4
Gijon B 7
CD Badajoz 2
CD Calahorra 1
Ecija 3
Olimpic Xativa 2
Ontinyent 4
Alaves B 3
Union Adarve 4
Malaga B 4
Naxara 2
Pena 4
Mexico 2
Lorca Deportiva 5
CD Vitoria 2
Atletico Astorga 2
Rapido de Bouzas 3
Peralada 3
