Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2025/2026 Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jurado H.
26'
Kakou E.
46'
Sub
Kakou E. In: Utkus E.
Out: Kakou E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Cercle Brugge advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cercle Brugge
15%
Draws
64%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kortrijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Kortrijk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Kortrijk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kortrijk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 18%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle Brugge Kortrijk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Belgian Cup
Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk
1:0
May 3, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurado H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kortrijk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle Brugge 31 / 100
Kortrijk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle Brugge Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cercle Brugge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kortrijk has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kortrijk has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cercle Brugge VS Kortrijk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cercle Brugge

(Home)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Kortrijk

(Away)
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1