Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cercle Brugge vs Waregem

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Cercle Brugge Logo

Cercle Brugge

2 - 3
FT
Waregem Logo

Waregem

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Diaby I.
27'
Sub
Diop E. In: Adewumi O.
Out: Diop E.
43'
Ementa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Waregem in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waregem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cercle Brugge
35%
Draws
52%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Waregem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waregem lately — more wins on the board than Cercle Brugge.
  • Waregem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%
Waregem Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle Brugge Waregem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.52 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Waregem
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Cercle Brugge
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Cercle Brugge
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Waregem
1:1
Oct 31, 2023 Belgian Cup
Cercle Brugge vs Waregem
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaby I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vanzeir D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Erenbjerg J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ake M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle Brugge 10 / 100
Waregem 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle Brugge Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waregem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cercle Brugge scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Waregem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Cercle Brugge has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cercle Brugge VS Waregem
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cercle Brugge

(Home)
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Cercle Brugge
14 Aug
Cercle Brugge
3 : 3
St. Truiden
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
13 Waregem 6 5 1 0 15:6 48
14 Cercle Brugge 6 3 1 2 14:11 41
15 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 0 5 5:13 34
16 Dender 6 2 0 4 7:11 25
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)