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Cercle Brugge vs Waregem

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Jan Breydel Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cercle Brugge play Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cercle Brugge averaged 2.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. Waregem averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Cercle Brugge won 0, Waregem won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Cercle Brugge and 2.00 for Waregem. This points to a Waregem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cercle Brugge
11%
Draws
80%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Waregem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Waregem has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cercle Brugge.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Waregem.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle Brugge Waregem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Waregem
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Cercle Brugge
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Cercle Brugge
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Waregem
1:1
Oct 31, 2023 Belgian Cup
Cercle Brugge vs Waregem
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaby I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vanzeir D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Erenbjerg J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ake M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle Brugge 10 / 100
Waregem 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle Brugge Waregem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Waregem let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cercle Brugge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Waregem lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cercle Brugge VS Waregem
2.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
13Waregem651015:648
14Cercle Brugge631214:1141
15RAAL La Louviere61055:1334
16Dender62047:1125