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Cercle De Joachim vs Chebel Citizens - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Cercle De Joachim and Chebel Citizens finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebel Citizens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cercle De Joachim
35%
Draws
38%
Chebel Citizens
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chebel Citizens come out ahead of Cercle De Joachim on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cercle De Joachim Clean Sheet 19%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle De Joachim Chebel Citizens
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Chebel Citizens
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Chebel Citizens
3:0
Jun 23, 2024 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle De Joachim 36 / 100
Chebel Citizens 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle De Joachim Chebel Citizens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle De Joachim scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Chebel Citizens's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cercle De Joachim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cercle De Joachim VS Chebel Citizens
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cercle De Joachim

(Home)
28 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Port Louis
24 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Petite Riviere
19 Apr
Riviere Du Rempart
0 : 3
Cercle De Joachim
15 Apr
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
1 : 4
Cercle De Joachim
15 Mar
Pamplemousses
3 : 2
Cercle De Joachim
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Chebel Citizens

(Away)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)