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Cercle De Joachim vs Grande Riviere

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cercle De Joachim play Grande Riviere in the Super League 2024/2025. Cercle De Joachim are favorites here. Recently, Cercle De Joachim averaged 1.76 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Grande Riviere averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Cercle De Joachim won 4, Grande Riviere won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 2, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Cercle De Joachim and 1.31 for Grande Riviere. This points to a Cercle De Joachim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Cercle De Joachim
20%
Draws
17%
Grande Riviere
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cercle De Joachim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Cercle De Joachim picked up more points recently compared to Grande Riviere.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Cercle De Joachim Clean Sheet 18%
Grande Riviere Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle De Joachim Grande Riviere
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Cercle De Joachim
0:5
Dec 7, 2024 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Grande Riviere
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Grande Riviere
3:0
May 12, 2024 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Cercle De Joachim
0:2
Mar 10, 2023 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Grande Riviere
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cercle De Joachim Compare

Top Goalscorer Francois W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Grande Riviere Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle De Joachim 60 / 100
Grande Riviere 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle De Joachim Grande Riviere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cercle De Joachim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cercle De Joachim & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cercle De Joachim attacking → ← attacking Grande Riviere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle De Joachim scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Grande Riviere let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cercle De Joachim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Grande Riviere lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 21
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cercle De Joachim18144035:646
2La Cure Waves18122440:1838
3Pamplemousses1893625:1830
4Petite Riviere1875621:1926
5Chebel Citizens1874726:2625
6AS Vacoas1864822:3022
7Port Louis1863921:2521
8PAS Mates1854918:2419
9Entente Boulet18441022:3416
10Grande Riviere18151220:508