Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017

Sabadell B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 encounter between Cerdanyola del Valles and Sabadell B promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Cerdanyola del Valles averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Sabadell B shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Cerdanyola del Valles, 1 wins for Sabadell B, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.25 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Cerdanyola del Valles and 1.25 for Sabadell B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Cerdanyola del Valles double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Cerdanyola del Valles

31%

Draws

27%

Sabadell B

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Cerdanyola del Valles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Cerdanyola del Valles picked up more points recently compared to Sabadell B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Cerdanyola del Valles Clean Sheet 19%

Sabadell B Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerdanyola del Valles	Sabadell B
Matches Played	37	34
Wins	10	8
Draws	17	8
Losses	10	18
Goals Scored	1.3	1.06
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

18.04.25 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Sabadell B vs Cerdanyola del Valles

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

08.12.24 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Cerdanyola del Valles vs Sabadell B

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 4 - 0

3:2

29.01.17 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Cerdanyola del Valles vs Sabadell B

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

11.09.16 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Sabadell B vs Cerdanyola del Valles

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

10.04.16 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Cerdanyola del Valles vs Sabadell B

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Cerdanyola del Valles

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sabadell B

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerdanyola del Valles 42 / 100

Sabadell B 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerdanyola del Valles Sabadell B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cerdanyola del Valles or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Cerdanyola del Valles 46%

Sabadell B 22%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Cerdanyola del Valles 40%

Sabadell B 28%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Cerdanyola del Valles 42%

Sabadell B 27%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Cerdanyola del Valles 44%

Sabadell B 26%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Cerdanyola del Valles 38%

Sabadell B 30%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Cerdanyola del Valles 48%

Sabadell B 31%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerdanyola del Valles attacking → ← attacking Sabadell B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerdanyola del Valles have found the net in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Sabadell B have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.

Cerdanyola del Valles remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sabadell B suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 32

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	38	24	8	6	73:38	80
2	Peralada	38	24	5	9	68:27	77
3	Terrassa	38	19	9	10	48:26	66
4	FC Vilafranca	38	18	10	10	60:37	64
5	Sant Andreu	38	16	12	10	51:40	60
6	FC Asco	38	15	12	11	44:37	57
7	Pobla Mafumet	38	12	19	7	43:36	55
8	Granollers	38	14	8	16	47:54	50
9	UE Figueres	38	12	14	12	39:41	50
10	Vilassar de Mar	38	13	11	14	40:44	50
11	Palamos CF	38	13	10	15	49:55	49
12	CE Europa	38	11	14	13	28:32	47
13	Santfeliuenc	38	11	12	15	39:44	45
14	Cerdanyola del Valles	38	11	12	15	43:51	45
15	UE Castelldefels	38	11	9	18	34:51	42
16	La Jonquera	38	10	12	16	19:29	42
17	Montanesa	38	11	9	18	32:48	42
18	Manlleu AEC	38	8	16	14	41:59	40
19	Jupiter	38	7	14	17	32:52	35
20	Sabadell B	38	7	10	21	34:63	31