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Ceres vs EC Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Passos Andre J. V.
48' Event
Quiezza T. R.
79' Event
Silva Assuncao Junior Guajajara C. A.

AI Match Summary

Ceres in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ceres
15%
Draws
85%
EC Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • EC Vera Cruz have won more games recently than Ceres.
  • Win probability leans Ceres's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ceres Clean Sheet 19%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceres EC Vera Cruz
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Carioca C
Ceres vs EC Vera Cruz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceres Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiezza T. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Assuncao Junior Guajajara C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

EC Vera Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Passos Andre J. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceres 67 / 100
EC Vera Cruz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceres EC Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceres found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (6 games).

Defensive concern: EC Vera Cruz conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: EC Vera Cruz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceres VS EC Vera Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceres

(Home)
12 Jul
Ceres
:
Independente RJ
06 Jul
Independente RJ
:
Ceres
08 Jun
Ceres
2 : 4
Tigres Brasil
31 May
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 0
Ceres
25 May
Ceres
1 : 2
Campos AA
Page 1 of 2

EC Vera Cruz

(Away)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)