Sport Picks
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka 
Match Events
20'
20'
Sakuragawa S.
Assist: Okuda H.
42'
42'
Irvine J.
46'
46'
Sub
Kakita Y. In: Hosoya M.
Out: Kakita Y.
AI Match Summary
Cerezo Osaka in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerezo Osaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Kashiwa Reysol at 1.9 per game, Cerezo Osaka at 1.66.
- Kashiwa Reysol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 15%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
Apr 3, 2024 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerezo Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakuragawa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Kashiwa Reysol Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerezo Osaka 10 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerezo Osaka Kashiwa Reysol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerezo Osaka scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Kashiwa Reysol has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Cerezo Osaka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cerezo Osaka VS Kashiwa Reysol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerezo Osaka
(Home) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2 Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
26 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
3 : 1 Gifu
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 4
Kashiwa Reysol
(Away) 09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
