Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Browne N.
Assist: Suzuki Y.
20'
20'
Sakuragawa S.
Assist: Okazawa K.
24'
24'
Yokoyama Y.
Assist: Kagawa S.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Cerezo Osaka and Okayama finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerezo Osaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Okayama
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cerezo Osaka carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Okayama's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cerezo Osaka here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 20%
Okayama Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerezo Osaka | Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Okayama
2:1
May 24, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka
2:3
Mar 18, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Okayama
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Okayama
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerezo Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakuragawa S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yokoyama Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Okayama Compare
Top Goalscorer Browne N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerezo Osaka 28 / 100
Okayama 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerezo Osaka Okayama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Okayama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerezo Osaka found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Okayama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Cerezo Osaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cerezo Osaka VS Okayama
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerezo Osaka
(Home) 19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
26 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
3 : 1 Gifu
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
08 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 4
Okayama
(Away) 19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
08 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1 Okayama
25 Jul
Schalke
3 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
