Sport Picks
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka 
Match Events
45'
45'
Oh Se-Hun
46'
46'
Sub
Kagawa S. In: Komi Y.
Out: Kagawa S.
48'
48'
Sakuragawa S.
AI Match Summary
Cerezo Osaka in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerezo Osaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cerezo Osaka lately — more wins on the board than Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Shimizu S-Pulse taking it.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Cerezo Osaka here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 23%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerezo Osaka | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka
1:4
Jun 1, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerezo Osaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiago Andrade
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerezo Osaka 21 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerezo Osaka Shimizu S-Pulse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shimizu S-Pulse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cerezo Osaka scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Shimizu S-Pulse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Cerezo Osaka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cerezo Osaka VS Shimizu S-Pulse
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerezo Osaka
(Home) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2 Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
26 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
3 : 1 Gifu
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Away) 07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
