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Cerrado EC U20 vs Goias U20

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Goiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerrado EC U20 play Goias U20 in the Goiano U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerrado EC U20 averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded. Goias U20 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Cerrado EC U20 won 2, Goias U20 won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Cerrado EC U20 and 1.38 for Goias U20. This points to a Cerrado EC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cerrado EC U20
34%
Draws
32%
Goias U20
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Cerrado EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerrado EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Goias U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Cerrado EC U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Goias U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado EC U20 Goias U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.56
Goals Conceded 1 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Goiano U20
Cerrado EC U20 vs Goias U20
2:1
May 23, 2026 Goiano U20
Goias U20 vs Cerrado EC U20
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Goiano U20
Cerrado EC U20 vs Goias U20
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Goiano U20
Cerrado EC U20 vs Goias U20
2:1
Mar 8, 2024 Goiano U20
Goias U20 vs Cerrado EC U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrado EC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elioterio N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Goias U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adriano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado EC U20 34 / 100
Goias U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado EC U20 Goias U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cerrado EC U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerrado EC U20 attacking → ← attacking Goias U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerrado EC U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Goias U20 let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cerrado EC U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Goias U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 62
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88