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Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Cerrado EC Logo

Cerrado EC

1 - 2
FT
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Danillo Ribeiro
25' Event
dos Santos Correa L.
56' Event
Carlos Gondim
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2024 game between Cerrado EC and Aparecida EC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aparecida EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cerrado EC
30%
Draws
23%
Aparecida EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aparecida EC come out ahead of Cerrado EC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cerrado EC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 68%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado EC Aparecida EC
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.85 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrado EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Danillo Ribeiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aparecida EC Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Correa L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Gondim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado EC 50 / 100
Aparecida EC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado EC Aparecida EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida EC let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Cerrado EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aparecida EC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado EC VS Aparecida EC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado EC

(Home)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
Page 1 of 4

Aparecida EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruacu 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
2 Tupy FC 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
3 Rio Verde 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
4 Pires do Rio 6 0 0 6 5:30 0
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mineiros 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
2 Guanabara City 8 4 2 2 9:5 14
3 Bela Vista FC 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
4 Itaberai 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
5 America GO 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecida EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Itumbiara 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Cerrado EC 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Rioverdense 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams