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Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2022
Cerrado EC Logo

Cerrado EC

1 - 2
FT
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aparecida EC in this Goiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aparecida EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cerrado EC
30%
Draws
23%
Aparecida EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aparecida EC lately — more wins on the board than Cerrado EC.
  • Model gives Cerrado EC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 20%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado EC Aparecida EC
Matches Played 20 37
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.85 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Aparecida EC
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Cerrado EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado EC 40 / 100
Aparecida EC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado EC Aparecida EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aparecida EC conceded in 73% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cerrado EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Aparecida EC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado EC VS Aparecida EC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado EC

(Home)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
Page 1 of 4

Aparecida EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
Promotion - Goiano 2023 (Main)