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Cerrado vs Arsenal (TO) Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Cerrado Logo

Cerrado

2 - 1
FT
Arsenal (TO) Logo

Arsenal (TO)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cerrado in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerrado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cerrado
15%
Draws
0%
Arsenal (TO)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerrado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Cerrado have won more games recently than Arsenal (TO).
  • Win probability leans Arsenal (TO)'s way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 18%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado Arsenal (TO)
Matches Played 17 12
Wins 4 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Arsenal (TO)
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs Cerrado
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado 15 / 100
Arsenal (TO) 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado Arsenal (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal (TO) let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Arsenal (TO) has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cerrado's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado VS Arsenal (TO)
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado

(Home)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

Arsenal (TO)

(Away)
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
SD Sparta
1 : 0
Arsenal (TO)
19 Oct
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Arsenal (TO)
12 Oct
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
12 May
Arsenal (TO)
1 : 2
Araguaina
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)