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Cerrado vs Palmas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Palmas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cerrado
20%
Draws
50%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palmas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Palmas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmas, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palmas here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 20%
Palmas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado Palmas
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 4 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.76 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
4:1
May 29, 2019 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Cerrado
1:0
May 21, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs Palmas
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado 10 / 100
Palmas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Palmas conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Cerrado found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (17 games).

Cerrado has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmas
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado

(Home)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
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Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 1
Interporto 3
Palmas 4
Final
Tocantinopolis 1
Palmas 4