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Cerrado vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Cerrado Logo

Cerrado

3 - 1
FT
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cerrado in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerrado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cerrado
30%
Draws
47%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Sparta have won more games recently than Cerrado.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cerrado here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 10%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado SD Sparta
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.20 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs SD Sparta
1:0
May 12, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs SD Sparta
3:1
Apr 23, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Cerrado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado 10 / 100
SD Sparta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Cerrado's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cerrado stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado VS SD Sparta
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
3.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado

(Home)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)