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Cerrito vs Atenas

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerrito play Atenas in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerrito averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Atenas averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Cerrito won 2, Atenas won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Cerrito and 1.69 for Atenas. This points to a Atenas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cerrito
20%
Draws
45%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerrito picked up more points recently compared to Atenas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 13%
Atenas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Atenas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Atenas
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Atenas
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Atenas
0:3
Jun 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Cerrito
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Cerrito
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Falconis O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isasmendi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez Mederos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 34 / 100
Atenas 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Atenas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atenas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerrito attacking → ← attacking Atenas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerrito scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Atenas let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cerrito went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atenas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 51
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fenix632113:711
2Huracan FC62409:610
3Uruguay Montevideo FC62317:59
4Cerrito62318:89
5La Luz61415:67
6Atenas61145:114
7Tacuarembo60335:93
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Oriental De Futbol64118:513
2Plaza Colonia63309:212
3Colon62318:59
4Rentistas62316:59
5Miramar61233:75
6Paysandu FC61144:74
7River Plate Montevideo61146:134