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Cerrito vs Club Oriental De Futbol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Batista L.
86' Event
Rigoleto M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Cerrito and Club Oriental De Futbol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cerrito
30%
Draws
37%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Oriental De Futbol come out ahead of Cerrito on wins alone.
  • Cerrito are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:1
May 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Cerrito
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:3
Jul 21, 2025 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Cerrito
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Club Oriental De Futbol
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Top Goalscorer Rigoleto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 59 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Club Oriental De Futbol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Cerrito found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Club Oriental De Futbol has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Cerrito stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Club Oriental De Futbol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

Club Oriental De Futbol

(Away)
10 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 River Plate Montevideo 22 9 6 7 34:27 33
3 Rentistas 22 9 6 7 27:25 33
4 Colon 22 9 6 7 23:24 33
5 Club Oriental De Futbol 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
6 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
7 Cerrito 22 8 8 6 29:25 32
8 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 Paysandu FC 22 8 4 10 28:29 28
10 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
11 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 22 6 6 10 17:25 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 4 5 13 20:34 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)