Sport Picks
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla 
AI Match Summary
Cerro Largo host Defensor Sp. in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Defensor Sp. have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Cerro Largo have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 2 to Defensor Sp.'s 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.88, favoring Cerro Largo. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Cerro Largo come out ahead of Defensor Sp. on wins alone.
- Cerro Largo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Largo scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Defensor Sp. conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Cerro Largo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Central Esp. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Liverpool M. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Boston River | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Central Esp. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Liverpool M. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Boston River | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventud | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 7 | Progreso | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Danubio | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |