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Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerro Porteno play Sportivo Trinidense in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerro Porteno averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Sportivo Trinidense averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Cerro Porteno won 2, Sportivo Trinidense won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Cerro Porteno and 1.44 for Sportivo Trinidense. This points to a Cerro Porteno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cerro Porteno
28%
Draws
30%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno picked up more points recently compared to Sportivo Trinidense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 16%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 41 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno Sportivo Trinidense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cerro Porteno or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerro Porteno attacking → ← attacking Sportivo Trinidense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Sportivo Trinidense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cerro Porteno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Trinidense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 42
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25