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Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cervera T.
Assist: Gomez A.
25'
Gomez A.
45'
Costas G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cerro Porteno
20%
Draws
29%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cerro Porteno a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
0:2
Jul 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

2 de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervera T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 86 / 100
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Porteno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

2 de Mayo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cerro Porteno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS 2 de Mayo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 7

2 de Mayo

(Away)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)