Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
Match Events
11'
11'
Aliseda I.
Assist: Almendra A. E.
13'
13'
Gamarra A.
25'
25'
Sub
Almendra A. E. In: Chena C.
Out: Almendra A. E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Libertad Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Cerro Porteno.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 22%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
2:3
Jan 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Aliseda I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguilar G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Porteno 32 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Porteno Libertad Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Porteno found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Libertad Asuncion let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Cerro Porteno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Porteno VS Libertad Asuncion
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home) 05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
Libertad Asuncion
(Away) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
