Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South America
Copa Libertadores Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
Match Events
41'
41'
Gomez G.
Assist: Arias J.
46'
46'
Sub
Ramirez I. In: Klimowicz M.
Out: Ramirez I.
52'
52'
Dominguez F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmeiras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Cerro Porteno.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Palmeiras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0:1
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
1:1
May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
1:1
May 8, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Porteno Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Palmeiras Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Porteno 32 / 100
Palmeiras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Porteno Palmeiras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Porteno's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cerro Porteno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Palmeiras let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Porteno VS Palmeiras
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home) 05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
Palmeiras
(Away) 09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
03 Sept
Santos
0 : 0 Palmeiras
30 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
