Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sportivo Ameliano have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Cerro Porteno have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Cerro Porteno have won 3 to Sportivo Ameliano's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.88) point toward Cerro Porteno. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Cerro Porteno come out ahead of Sportivo Ameliano on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Cerro Porteno's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Cerro Porteno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home)Sportivo Ameliano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
