Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
Match Events
13'
13'
Camacho N.
(Penalty)
44'
44'
Dufour M.
46'
46'
Sub
Dominguez F. In: Servin L. J.
Out: Dominguez F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Cerro Porteno advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 17%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:2
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Dominguez C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Porteno 36 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Porteno Sportivo Trinidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Porteno found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Sportivo Trinidense conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Cerro Porteno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Porteno VS Sportivo Trinidense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home) 24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
28 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Sporting Cristal
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
21 May
Palmeiras
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 7
24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
28 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Sporting Cristal
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0 Guarani
30 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Trinidense
(Away) 24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
12 Apr
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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