Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Certaldo play Forli FC in the Serie D - Group D 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Certaldo averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Forli FC averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Certaldo won 0, Forli FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 21, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Certaldo and 0.80 for Forli FC. This points to a Forli FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Certaldo picked up more points recently compared to Forli FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.80 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Certaldo | Forli FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.44 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Certaldo Compare
Forli FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Certaldo scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Forli FC let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Certaldo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Forli FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carpi | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 66:31 | 68 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 56:13 | 66 |
| 3 | Corticella | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 59:40 | 57 |
| 4 | Victor San Marino | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Lentigione | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 49:31 | 56 |
| 6 | Forli FC | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:35 | 55 |
| 7 | Prato | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 37:41 | 44 |
| 8 | Sangiuliano City | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 9 | Fanfulla | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | 43 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:44 | 41 |
| 11 | Aglianese Calcio | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Imolese | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 31:33 | 40 |
| 13 | Sammaurese | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 37:48 | 37 |
| 14 | SCD Progresso | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 27:43 | 37 |
| 15 | San Donnino | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 32:58 | 25 |
| 16 | Certaldo | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 23:50 | 21 |
| 18 | Pistoiese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |