Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Mansiche
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Caballero E. In: Rojas Castilla A. S.
Out: Caballero E.
35'
Sub
Cavero S. In: Ascues A.
Out: Cavero S.
45' Event
Cornejo M.

AI Match Summary

Cesar Vallejo in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cesar Vallejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cesar Vallejo
22%
Draws
60%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Comercio lately — more wins on the board than Cesar Vallejo.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Union Comercio taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 23%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo Union Comercio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Union Comercio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 21 / 100
Union Comercio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo Union Comercio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cesar Vallejo found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Union Comercio let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Cesar Vallejo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS Union Comercio
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Moquegua-
TBD-
Union Comercio2
Cesar Vallejo4
Final
Moquegua4
Cesar Vallejo2