Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Caballero E. In: Rojas Castilla A. S.
Out: Caballero E.
35'
Sub
Cavero S. In: Ascues A.
Out: Cavero S.
45' Event
Cornejo M.

AI Match Summary

Cesar Vallejo in this Liga 2 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cesar Vallejo
30%
Draws
37%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Comercio lately — more wins on the board than Cesar Vallejo.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cesar Vallejo taking it.
  • Union Comercio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cesar Vallejo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 20%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo Union Comercio
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Union Comercio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 36 / 100
Union Comercio 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cesar Vallejo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cesar Vallejo found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Union Comercio let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS Union Comercio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesar Vallejo

(Home)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
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Union Comercio

(Away)
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Moquegua -
TBD -
Union Comercio 2
Cesar Vallejo 4
Final
Moquegua 4
Cesar Vallejo 2