Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Bortolussi M.
23'
23'
Caturano S.
40'
40'
Ciofi A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 game between Cesena and Matelica finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Cesena haven't matched Matelica's recent run of results.
- Cesena are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cesena Clean Sheet 18%
Matelica Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cesena | Matelica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Cesena vs Matelica
2:3
Mar 17, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Cesena vs Matelica
2:2
Nov 22, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Cesena
2:2
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Cesena vs Matelica
2:1
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Cesena
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cesena Compare
Top Goalscorer Bortolussi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caturano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Matelica Compare
Top Goalscorer Volpicelli E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Franchi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cesena 36 / 100
Matelica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cesena Matelica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Cesena found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Matelica conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Cesena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cesena VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cesena
(Home) 23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1 Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0 Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0 Cesena
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1 Sampdoria
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
21 Jul
Cesena
5 : 0 SSD Sampierana
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Matelica
(Away) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
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26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
25 Apr
Perugia
2 : 0 Matelica
11 Apr
Carpi
4 : 1 Matelica
27 Mar
Gubbio
3 : 0 Matelica
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 67:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:29 | 75 |
| 4 | Modena | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 51:28 | 70 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 54:46 | 60 |
| 6 | Triestina | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 48:40 | 59 |
| 7 | Cesena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51:42 | 57 |
| 8 | Matelica | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 59:62 | 56 |
| 9 | Sambenedettese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Mantova | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 47:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 43:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Gubbio | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:45 | 48 |
| 13 | Fermana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 31:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41:57 | 41 |
| 15 | Carpi | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45:62 | 41 |
| 16 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 17 | Imolese | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Fano | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 32:47 | 33 |
| 19 | Ravenna | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:62 | 30 |
| 20 | Arezzo | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 37:66 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
