Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Gonnelli L.
37'
37'
Magri K.
45'
45'
Tofanari N.
AI Match Summary
Matelica in this Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Matelica have won more games recently than Cesena.
- Win probability leans Matelica's way, sitting at 50%.
- Matelica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Matelica, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cesena Clean Sheet 20%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cesena | Matelica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Cesena vs Matelica
2:3
Mar 17, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Cesena vs Matelica
2:2
Nov 22, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Cesena
2:2
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Cesena vs Matelica
2:1
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Cesena
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cesena Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Gennaro D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ardizzone F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Matelica Compare
Top Goalscorer Magri K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calcagni R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cesena 24 / 100
Matelica 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cesena Matelica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Cesena found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Matelica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Cesena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cesena VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cesena
(Home) 06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1 Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2 Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1 Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0 Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0 Cesena
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1 Mantova
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1 Sampdoria
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
Page 1 of 4
Matelica
(Away) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
25 Apr
Perugia
2 : 0 Matelica
11 Apr
Carpi
4 : 1 Matelica
27 Mar
Gubbio
3 : 0 Matelica
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AlbinoLeffe 1
US Pontedera 0
Lecco 1
Grosseto 4
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FeralpiSalo -
TBD -
Triestina 0
Virtus Verona 1
Bari -
TBD -
Catania 1
Foggia 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alessandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena 2
Mantova 1
Matelica 3
Sambenedettese 1
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia 1
Casertana 1
Palermo 2
Teramo 0
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pro Vercelli -
TBD -
Pro Patria 1
Juventus U23 3
Sudtirol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
AlbinoLeffe 2
Grosseto 1
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
TBD -
FeralpiSalo 1
Virtus Verona 1
Bari 3
Foggia 1
TBD -
TBD -
Alessandria -
TBD -
Cesena 2
Matelica 3
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
TBD -
Juve Stabia 0
Palermo 2
Avellino -
TBD -
Pro Vercelli 1
Juventus U23 0
Sudtirol -
TBD -
1/8-finals
AlbinoLeffe 2
Modena 1
TBD -
Catanzaro -
FeralpiSalo 1
Bari 0
TBD -
Alessandria -
Matelica 2
Renate 2
TBD -
Padova -
Palermo 1
Avellino 1
Pro Vercelli 3
Sudtirol 3
Quarter-finals
AlbinoLeffe 2
Catanzaro 1
FeralpiSalo 1
Alessandria 1
Renate 4
Padova 4
Avellino 2
Sudtirol 1
Semi-finals
AlbinoLeffe 3
Alessandria 4
Padova 2
Avellino 1
Final
Alessandria 1
Padova 0
