Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesena vs Sampdoria

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Viti M.
30'
Cherubini L.
54'
Sub
Corazza T. In: Frabotta G.
Out: Corazza T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Cesena and Sampdoria finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cesena
20%
Draws
33%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sampdoria come out ahead of Cesena on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cesena taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cesena Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Sampdoria
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.18 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Cesena
1:2
Jan 17, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Cesena
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
3:5
Apr 18, 2015 Serie A
Sampdoria vs Cesena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 68 / 100
Sampdoria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesena scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Sampdoria has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cesena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Sampdoria
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0
Cesena
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2
Sampdoria
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Novara
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
18 Jul
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Taverne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)