Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesena vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tait F.
Assist: Casiraghi D.
6'
Molina S.
17' Event
Davi F.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cesena
30%
Draws
43%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sudtirol lately — more wins on the board than Cesena.
  • Sudtirol are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cesena Clean Sheet 18%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sudtirol
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Cesena
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Cesena
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Sudtirol
1:0
Apr 25, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Sudtirol vs Cesena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Tait F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 12 / 100
Sudtirol 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesena scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Cesena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sudtirol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Sudtirol
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0
Cesena
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Vis Pesaro
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Sudtirol

(Away)
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)