Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2010

CSKA Almaty

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cesna Almaty play CSKA Almaty in the First Division 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cesna Almaty averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. CSKA Almaty averaged 1.21 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Cesna Almaty won 4, CSKA Almaty won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2011 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Cesna Almaty and 1.30 for CSKA Almaty. This points to a Cesna Almaty double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Cesna Almaty

15%

Draws

34%

CSKA Almaty

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesna Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Cesna Almaty picked up more points recently compared to CSKA Almaty.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Cesna Almaty Clean Sheet 19%

CSKA Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cesna Almaty	CSKA Almaty
Matches Played	31	43
Wins	11	14
Draws	5	5
Losses	15	24
Goals Scored	1.39	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.77	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2011 First League

CSKA Almaty vs Cesna Almaty

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Apr 24, 2011 First League

Cesna Almaty vs CSKA Almaty

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Oct 3, 2010 First League

Cesna Almaty vs CSKA Almaty

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

May 23, 2010 First League

CSKA Almaty vs Cesna Almaty

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesna Almaty 50 / 100

CSKA Almaty 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cesna Almaty CSKA Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cesna Almaty or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cesna Almaty attacking → ← attacking CSKA Almaty

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesna Almaty scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

CSKA Almaty let in goals in 84% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cesna Almaty went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Almaty lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 47

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vostok Oskemen	34	27	6	1	91:15	87
2	Kaisar Kyzylorda	34	25	6	3	74:23	81
3	Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan	34	22	7	5	73:28	73
4	Spartak Semey	34	19	7	8	68:40	64
5	Ile-Saulet	34	18	9	7	73:38	63
6	Cesna Almaty	34	18	5	11	56:34	59
7	Kazakhmys	34	17	6	11	80:45	57
8	Ak Bulak	34	14	9	11	48:39	51
9	FC Ekibastuz	34	14	9	11	44:37	51
10	Kyzylzhar	34	14	4	16	44:57	46
11	Taraz-Karatau 2	34	12	8	14	46:54	44
12	Aktobe 2	34	13	4	17	40:66	43
13	Gefest Karagandy	34	12	2	20	52:83	38
14	Shakhter Karagandy 2	34	10	8	16	44:58	38
15	Zhenis	34	9	4	21	41:75	31
16	Kaspij Aktau	34	5	5	24	40:79	20
17	CSKA Almaty	34	5	3	26	32:76	18
18	Asbest Zitikara	34	0	2	32	11:110	2