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Cessnock City Hornets vs Dudley Redhead United

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League game between Cessnock City Hornets and Dudley Redhead United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cessnock City Hornets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cessnock City Hornets
33%
Draws
40%
Dudley Redhead United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dudley Redhead United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dudley Redhead United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dudley Redhead United taking it.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dudley Redhead United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cessnock City Hornets Clean Sheet 10%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cessnock City Hornets Dudley Redhead United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs Dudley Redhead United
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Cessnock City Hornets
1:0
Jul 13, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Cessnock City Hornets
4:2
May 14, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs Dudley Redhead United
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cessnock City Hornets 26 / 100
Dudley Redhead United 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cessnock City Hornets Dudley Redhead United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dudley Redhead United has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Cessnock City Hornets scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cessnock City Hornets went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cessnock City Hornets VS Dudley Redhead United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lake Macquarie14101350:2031
2Wallsend Red Devils1494139:1931
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1470733:3321
5Dudley Redhead United1463521:2221
6Cessnock City Hornets1562724:2720
7West Wallsend FC1453626:3518
8Singleton Strikers1443715:3015
9South Cardiff14311011:2510
10Toronto Awaba Stags14311018:3610